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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route% this year reflects a substantial progression in his passing offense usage over last year's 29.4% mark.

Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to accrue 4.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Javonte Williams's 79.4% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 84.7% mark.

Javonte Williams has been one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, averaging a lowly 5.05 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

This year, the imposing Chargers defense has given up a puny 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

The Chargers pass defense has shown strong efficiency against RBs this year, giving up 4.83 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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