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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

Javonte Williams's 43.4% Route Participation% this year conveys a substantial boost in his passing attack utilization over last year's 29.4% rate.

This week, Javonte Williams is expected by the projections to position himself in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

Javonte Williams grades out as one of the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 19.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Javonte Williams's 80.5% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 84.7% mark.

This year, the strong Colts defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a paltry 6.1 yards.

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