Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
This week, Javonte Williams is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 81st percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.
Javonte Williams's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.6% to 80.6%.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
Javonte Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing game this season (10.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (16.8%).
Javonte Williams has compiled a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among running backs.

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