Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this contest, Javonte Williams is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
Javonte Williams's 83.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a noteable gain in his receiving skills over last season's 77.7% rate.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
In regards to air yards, Javonte Williams grades out in the lowly 7th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

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