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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to earn 3.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Javonte Williams has been among the leading pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 20.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Javonte Williams's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this year, averaging 10.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.65 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Javonte Williams has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 7th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.9% to 74.7%.

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