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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Javonte Williams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Javonte Williams has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Javonte Williams's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 83.9% to 87.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.

Javonte Williams has notched a puny -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 8th percentile among RBs.

Javonte Williams's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.12 yards-per-target compared to a 6.03 figure last season.

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