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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 36.6% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least run-centric offense in football has been the Denver Broncos.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • After comprising 53.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Javonte Williams has played a smaller part in the ground game this year, currently comprising only 38.1%.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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