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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • Javonte Williams has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (41.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (53.4%).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very good this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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