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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos have a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • In this week's game, Javonte Williams is expected by the projection model to place in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.0 rush attempts.
  • Javonte Williams has been given 54.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • The Los Angeles defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (only 53.2 per game on average).

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