Javonte Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Carries

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
In this game, Javonte Williams is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.6 rush attempts.
Javonte Williams has received 55.7% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
The Houston Texans defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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