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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to accrue 12.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Javonte Williams has garnered 47.3% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.

The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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