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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this year (20.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.8%).
  • Jauan Jennings's 4.3 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a significant improvement in his receiving talent over last season's 1.6 figure.
  • Jauan Jennings's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 64.5% to 71.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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