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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) vs. WRs this year (77.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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