Jauan Jennings Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) vs. WRs this year (77.6%).

Favors Under

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The San Francisco O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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