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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • Jauan Jennings has gone out for fewer passes this year (50.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (37.9%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
  • Jauan Jennings's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.5% to 61.2%.

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