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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Jauan Jennings's 27.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 19.7.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) versus WRs this year (63.0%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

More Jauan Jennings Player Props

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