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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
  • Jauan Jennings has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (22.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.8%).
  • Jauan Jennings has compiled many more air yards this year (92.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
  • Jauan Jennings's 90.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 23.0 rate.
  • Jauan Jennings's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.5% to 79.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.
  • The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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