My Account Log Out

reorder

Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Jauan Jennings has been a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this year (20.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.8%).

After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Jauan Jennings has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 74.0 per game.

Jauan Jennings has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).

Jauan Jennings's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 64.5% to 71.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jauan Jennings's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.12 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.68 figure last year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, allowing 7.44 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in football.

More Jauan Jennings Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™