Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jauan Jennings has notched many more air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.46 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.91 figure last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 8.95 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see just 120.9 total plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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