Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jauan Jennings's pass-game efficiency has gotten better this season, compiling 10.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.91 figure last season.
Jauan Jennings has been one of the best WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 5.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 87th percentile.
The Vikings defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (183.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) vs. WRs this year (77.6%).

Favors Under

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The San Francisco O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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