Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jauan Jennings has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (60.1%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.1%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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