Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 10:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Jauan Jennings has been used less as a potential target this year (57.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (41.1%).
Jauan Jennings has put up many more air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings's talent in picking up extra yardage have improved this year, accumulating 5.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 2.17 rate last year.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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