Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jauan Jennings has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (52.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (41.1%).
Jauan Jennings has compiled many more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this season, notching 6.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.17 rate last season.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 8.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 27.07 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Jauan Jennings has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging just 7.55 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile among wide receivers

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