Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jauan Jennings has notched significantly more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings's ability to generate extra yardage has improved this season, averaging 6.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.17 rate last season.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Jauan Jennings has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging a measly 7.56 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 24th percentile among WRs

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