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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Jauan Jennings has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).
  • Jauan Jennings's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 19.7.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Jauan Jennings's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, compiling 6.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 2.17 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jauan Jennings has been among the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 7.27 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 14th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.

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