Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jauan Jennings has been less involved as a potential target this season (49.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (37.9%).
Jauan Jennings has compiled far more air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.96 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Jauan Jennings's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.5% to 61.3%.

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