Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Jauan Jennings's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 8.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.71 figure last season.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.

Favors Under

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jauan Jennings to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense this week (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).