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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

Jauan Jennings Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+378/-773).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +394 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +378.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Jauan Jennings has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

Jauan Jennings's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 19.7.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 7th-least TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 0.64 per game this year.

The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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