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Jarvis Landry

Jarvis Landry Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Jarvis Landry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jarvis Landry has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (69.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (69.7%).

The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 6th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jarvis Landry to be much less involved in his team's pass game this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.8% in games he has played).

The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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