Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Jarvis Landry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jarvis Landry has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 23.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Jarvis Landry has accumulated a colossal 62.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among wideouts.
Jarvis Landry has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 52.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Jarvis Landry's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.6% to 82.1%.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 61.3 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.