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Jarvis Landry

Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jarvis Landry to notch 7.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jarvis Landry to be much less involved in his team's air attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.9% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (61.2%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.02 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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