Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Jarvis Landry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jarvis Landry has accounted for a colossal 25.0% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among WRs.
Jarvis Landry has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 50.0 yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
Jarvis Landry has been among the top wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jarvis Landry to be much less involved in his team's pass game this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.8% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.