Jarrett Stidham Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jarrett Stidham

NFL · Player Props

Jarrett Stidham

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Pass Attempts

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Stidham Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-153/+113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders will be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Raiders are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on just 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the league), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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