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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Jared Goff's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.3% to 73.5%.

Jared Goff has been one of the leading TD throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.67 per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Lions as the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (52.7% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Detroit Lions.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.

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