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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 59.6 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • In this week's contest, Jared Goff is expected by the projections to total the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (53.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • This year, the imposing Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a mere 67.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-best rate in the league.
  • The Vikings linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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