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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This week, Jared Goff is expected by the projection model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone pass rate.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.

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