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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jared Goff's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.3% to 71.6%.

Jared Goff has been among the leading touchdown passers in football this year, averaging an excellent 1.83 per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the league versus the Packers defense this year (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.4% red zone pass rate.

The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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