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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 35.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

Jared Goff's 73.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.3% mark.

Jared Goff has been among the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 2.00 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (52.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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