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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 4th-most plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.2% red zone pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (63.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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