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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this week's contest, Jared Goff is anticipated by the projections to total the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.5.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 51.1% red zone pass rate.

This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings defense has given up a paltry 1.21 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-best rate in the league.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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