Jared Goff TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

TD Passes

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 37.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
Jared Goff has been among the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging a terrific 1.83 per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jared Goff's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.2% to 63.2%.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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