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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Jared Goff's 3.87 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a significant boost in his rushing skills over last year's 2.91 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).
  • In this contest, Jared Goff is expected by our trusted projection set to earn the 7th-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.0.
  • Jared Goff is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for a measly 3.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Jared Goff has generated just 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (14th percentile).
  • With an awful rate of 0.25 yards-after-contact (3rd percentile), Jared Goff has been among the weakest rushing QBs in football this year.

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