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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Lions as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The model projects Jared Goff to garner 1.8 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

Accounting for just 3.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (15th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat with his legs.

With a terrible total of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (15th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the weakest running quarterbacks in football this year.

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