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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Lions since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
  • Since the start of last season, the anemic Seattle Seahawks run defense has allowed a colossal 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • In this week's game, Jared Goff is projected by the model to earn the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.8.
  • Jared Goff is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 4.0% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 25th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Jared Goff has generated just 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (8th percentile).
  • With an awful total of 3.4 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (21st percentile), Jared Goff rates among the weakest running QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

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