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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jared Goff's 3.71 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season shows a meaningful progression in his rushing skills over last season's 2.91 figure.
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive tackles profile as the 8th-worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Jared Goff is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 7th-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.0.
  • Jared Goff is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a lowly 3.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 19th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • Jared Goff has grinded out a measly 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (15th percentile).
  • Jared Goff has been one of the bottom QBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 0.75 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 18th percentile.

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