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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Lions to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Jared Goff's 3.94 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a noteable boost in his running prowess over last year's 2.91 rate.

The Bears defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The predictive model expects Jared Goff to accumulate 2.0 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Jared Goff is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 3.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among quarterbacks.

With an atrocious record of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (18th percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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