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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Jared Goff's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 2.91 mark last season.

This year, the poor Colts run defense has surrendered a massive 139.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Jared Goff is expected by the projections to earn the 5th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.0.

Jared Goff is not much of a rusher and has accounted for a measly 3.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 18th percentile among quarterbacks.

Jared Goff has picked up a measly 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in football when it comes to QBs (15th percentile).

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