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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Detroit Lions have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
  • The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to run on 40.4% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • This week, Jared Goff is forecasted by the projections to earn the fewest carries among all QBs with 1.9.
  • Making up a measly 4.2% of his offense's carries this year (15th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.

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