Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regards to opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
This week, Jared Goff is forecasted by the projection model to earn the 2nd-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.6.
Making up a measly 4.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (18th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Jared Goff's lack of mobility makes him no threat in the run game.
With a very bad tally of 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (14th percentile), Jared Goff rates among the weakest running QBs in football this year.

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