Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
The Panthers defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.49 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Jared Goff is expected by the model to garner the 4th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.0.
Jared Goff is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for just 4.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 21st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
With a terrible record of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (20th percentile), Jared Goff places as one of the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

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