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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Lions have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most yards in football (139 per game) versus the Packers defense since the start of last season.

The Packers defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Jared Goff to earn 1.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the fewest of all QBs.

Accounting for a measly 5.0% of his team's carries this year (21st percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's one-dimensionality makes him no threat with his legs.

Jared Goff has generated a measly 4.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in football when it comes to QBs (13th percentile).

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